Live data · checked Jul 11, 12:22 PM CT

Market read

Chicago O’Hare (ORD)Los Angeles (LAX)
TeslaLuxury

// the live read on renting a Tesla near Chicago O’Hare (ORD) · ◉ latest 30-min refresh ⟲ accumulated history · how everything is calculated →

◆ Best typical window
$58/day
median of 48 quotes · 14-day trip · pick up Sep 6
↘ Market trend · 7d
↑1%
median now $84/day · was $83
◷ Current price curve
$70/day
lowest current median is ~59 days ahead
◈ Lowest observed now
$37/day
lowest fresh quote in the latest refresh

Current surface: 47,698 quotes observed in the latest sweep + 0 visibly labeled last-seen carries. Longer-is-cheaper actions use fresh pairs only.

Price trend ⟲ 14d history

Latest refresh’s quote-weighted median for each market-local day — ORD · descriptive, not a forecast

Median price per day over the trend windowLine of daily median dollars per day from Jul 10 to Jul 11.$84$83

Current price curve ◉ latest refresh

Current quote-weighted median $/day by time until pickup · not booking advice · band = ORD 10–90th percentile

Median price per day by booking lead timeLine chart of median dollars per day against how many days before pickup the trip starts, one line per market.$0$88$175$263$3500d14d28d42d56ddays before pickupLAX $90ORD $70

Best typical windows — Chicago O’Hare (ORD) ◉ latest refresh

Quote-weighted median $/day for every start date × trip length · click a cell to search it · 47,698 fresh + 0 carried last-seen quotes

Median price per day for every start date in the next 60 days by trip length, 1 to 14 days. Darker green cells are cheaper; grey cells have no cars. Click a cell to search it.1d2d3d4d5d6d7d8d9d10d11d12d13d14dJulAugSep
$58/day$192/daygreener = cheaper · grey = no cars · click a cell to search

By pickup day ◉ latest refresh

Quote-weighted median $/day — lowest weekday in green

$82
Mon
$82
Tue
$86
Wed
$86
Thu
$87
Fri
$86
Sat
$83
Sun

Price by model ◉ latest refresh

Quote-weighted median $/day — ORD

Model 3$82
Model Y$79
Model X$116
Model S$104

On the market ◉ today

Live inventory — ORD

Cars tracked101
Quote median $/day$84
Lowest observed $/day$37
Largest drops captured today74

Price by listing trip history ◉ latest refresh

Quote-weighted median by this car’s completed trips · not host-wide trips or written reviews — ORD

New 9$82
1–25 47$84
26–100 34$86
101+ 11$79
◆ Raw All-Star gap+15%unadjusted quote medians · All-Star $92/day · others $80/day

Raw quote comparison: All-Star listings are 15% higher. Model-adjusted estimate: +2.2%. These are associations, not causal host earnings effects.

What drives price ◉ latest refresh

Listing-equal weighted % effect on $/day · exact 1–14-day terms · distance-neutral · held-out listing R² 0.28 · typical held-out error 34% · 2.4% pass the calibrated deal gate

Model Y (vs Model 3)-4.4%
Model X (vs Model 3)+54.5%
Model S (vs Model 3)+24.5%
Each year of age-6.5%
Each 0.1★ above 4.80%
10× the completed trips0%
All-Star badge (model-adjusted)+2.2%
No rating yet+2.6%
LAX vs ORD+7.4%
Fri/Sat pickup+5.3%

Marginal day cost — ORD ◉ latest refresh

Median cost of adding day N to the trip · host weekly discounts make some days nearly free

◆ 7 days costs less than 6 for 5% of car/date quote pairs · median host discount: 3d −7% · 7d −15% · 14d −20%

Observed repricing by lead time ⟲ up to 14d history

Average change in the same quote, grouped by days until pickup · descriptive only

Collecting price-path history — the first honest read needs a few days of history.

Refresh cadence ◉ today

prices checked per 30-minute refresh, today

Listings checked per refresh todayStep line of how many listings each refresh checked today, oldest to newest.12:22 AM · 47,376 listings checked1:04 AM · 47,376 listings checked1:40 AM · 47,376 listings checked2:15 AM · 201,362 listings checked2:50 AM · 201,404 listings checked3:25 AM · 201,390 listings checked10:35 AM · 200,676 listings checked11:10 AM · 200,564 listings checked11:47 AM · 201,292 listings checked12:22 PM · 201,460 listings checked201,460 @ 12:22 PM

Largest recent drops ⟲ 48h

Up to 40 largest 5%+ moves retained per refresh · recent 30 shown · 568 captured rows in 48h

WhenMarketCarTripPriceDrop
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 13–22 · 9d$934 → $886↓5%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2023 Model 3Jul 13–16 · 3d$289 → $274↓5%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 13–21 · 8d$838 → $789↓6%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 14–18 · 4d$489 → $458↓6%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 13–20 · 7d$861 → $800↓7%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2023 Model 3Jul 13–15 · 2d$200 → $184↓8%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 13–19 · 6d$747 → $685↓8%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 14–17 · 3d$349 → $318↓9%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 13–18 · 5d$603 → $541↓10%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 13–17 · 4d$464 → $402↓13%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 14–16 · 2d$234 → $202↓14%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2023 Model 3Jul 13–14 · 1d$102 → $86↓16%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 13–16 · 3d$341 → $279↓18%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 13–14 · 1d$118 → $86↓27%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 13–15 · 2d$234 → $170↓27%
Jul 11, 11:47 AM CTLAX2019 Model 3Jul 14–15 · 1d$116 → $84↓28%
Jul 11, 11:10 AM CTLAX2020 Model YJul 14–20 · 6d$628 → $596↓5%
Jul 11, 11:10 AM CTLAX2020 Model YJul 14–19 · 5d$513 → $486↓5%
Jul 11, 11:10 AM CTLAX2020 Model YJul 14–18 · 4d$387 → $366↓5%
Jul 11, 11:10 AM CTLAX2020 Model YJul 15–18 · 3d$274 → $259↓6%
Jul 11, 11:10 AM CTLAX2020 Model YJul 16–17 · 1d$198 → $187↓6%
Jul 11, 11:10 AM CTLAX2020 Model YJul 14–17 · 3d$267 → $252↓6%
Jul 11, 11:10 AM CTLAX2020 Model YJul 15–17 · 2d$284 → $268↓6%
Jul 11, 11:10 AM CTLAX2020 Model YJul 14–15 · 1d$199 → $187↓6%
Jul 11, 11:10 AM CTLAX2020 Model YJul 14–16 · 2d$300 → $281↓6%
Jul 11, 11:10 AM CTLAX2020 Model YJul 15–16 · 1d$180 → $168↓7%
Jul 11, 10:35 AM CTORD2022 Model SJul 13–17 · 4d$723 → $649↓10%
Jul 11, 10:35 AM CTORD2022 Model SAug 9–18 · 9d$898 → $806↓10%
Jul 11, 10:35 AM CTORD2022 Model SSep 8–18 · 10d$945 → $848↓10%
Jul 11, 10:35 AM CTORD2022 Model SJul 29–30 · 1d$185 → $166↓10%